A Serious Warning to All Retail Investors Regarding a Certain Liquor Stock!
2006/12/7 10:00:31
What this ID wrote yesterday — "The Strongest Protest Against Sichuan" — was purely a protest against that company and does not involve any stock price movement. This ID strongly hopes to get this deal killed, because this ID does not want to drink Chinese liquor made by the British. This ID's article yesterday was only a warning to certain people — all retail investors should not get involved.
This ID already made this point clearly on this blog yesterday. Please see:
Chán Zhōng Shuō Chán
2006-12-06 16:20:48
[Anonymous] 无聊
2006-12-06 16:17:41
May I ask, blogger — that bottle of liquor you mentioned, I'd also like to buy some to bleed them dry. Is that okay?
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The arduous task of bloodletting shall be carried out by this ID. The medium-term buy point has long passed. The risk is too high. This ID's cost basis is different. I do not recommend anyone chase this stock at high prices.
Some things are not for retail investors to mess with. I won't write any article today either — just this statement. Note: retail investors should not act recklessly. Risk comes first.
A supplementary note:
In battle, sand and stones fly everywhere. Retail investors are respectfully declined from participating — spectating is fine, but don't get hurt in the crossfire and then come complaining to this ID. This ID has no time for that.
Replies
缠中说禅 2006/12/7 11:00:16
Serious notice: this ID has never recommended any specific stock, and has always been against chasing high prices. If you want to buy, buy at first-type buy points — don't get confused.
缠中说禅 2006/12/7 11:07:24
[Anonymous] GG
2006-12-07 11:02:18
How will the market behave today?
Sell on the rebound?
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As said yesterday, continued oscillation. Watch the 5-day moving average carefully — if it holds, no big problem; otherwise there'll be trouble.
缠中说禅 2006/12/7 11:11:31
[Anonymous] Xiao Ming
2006-12-07 11:06:40
Chán mm, wouldn't it be great to blow this thing up big, and then if possible get it killed?
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Things aren't as simple as you imagine. Most importantly, this ID doesn't want the spotlight — I don't want to show my face for these minor skirmishes. It's not worth it. Yesterday was just a warning shot across the bow. Today the other side is already getting rattled — let's see if there's a turn.
缠中说禅 2006/12/7 11:21:57
[Anonymous] Xiao Ming
2006-12-07 11:18:20
Haha, impressive!
The other side is getting rattled? I can't see it at all, haha.
Just let them feel some fear!
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This ID is currently in an invincible position. They now have only two possible strategies: one is to accelerate the process, the other is to pause. Both scenarios are what this ID is happy to see. For different strategies, this ID has corresponding responses — but that can't be disclosed.
缠中说禅 2006/12/7 11:36:12
In battle, sand and stones fly everywhere. Retail investors are respectfully declined from participating — spectating is fine, but don't get hurt in the crossfire and then come complaining to this ID. This ID has no time for that.
缠中说禅 2006/12/7 11:40:31
[Anonymous] 外科医生
2006-12-07 11:25:48
Yesterday you seemed happy, so I felt you got a bit showy.
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Please go study the Analerta carefully. For this ID, "showy" simply doesn't exist. In the market, this ID only acts according to market principles — this ID would never do a single useless thing in the market. Regarding the market, this ID feels neither joy nor sorrow.
缠中说禅 2006/12/7 11:47:20
[Anonymous] 淡定
2006-12-07 11:41:43
Chán MM, sorry — 600050 is being so aggressive that I can't stay calm anymore. My temperament isn't there yet. Could you please analyze whether I should continue holding?
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You call this aggressive? You're scared even when it rises — what else can be done? Did you forget how this ID scolded that Uncle for selling Beichen under 4 yuan? At that time it was just over 4 yuan — look where it is now. A couple of days ago, that uncle asked this ID whether I'd sold. This ID asked him back: give me a reason to sell. He couldn't give one, and this ID couldn't either — so it's never been sold.
Similarly, just hold patiently and wait for a first-type sell point to appear. If you're afraid of a big correction, go look at the 30-minute first-type sell point.
缠中说禅 2006/12/7 11:57:26
[Anonymous] 小溪
2006-12-07 11:50:38
Chán JJ, where can I find the article you wrote about the liquor yesterday? I'd like to read it.
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All Chinese people please read: The Strongest Protest Against Sichuan.
Chán Zhōng Shuō Chán Although this ID's information is extremely accurate — today the stock of a certain liquor company in this ID's hands hit the daily limit while the broader market tanked — this ID still must protest. The reason this ID bought their stock is to bleed them dry. They're selling the factory to foreigners — this ID is going to bleed them. This matter probably can't be changed anymore. Reliable sources say trading will be halted within the next few days — probably two weeks — and then the announcement comes that the foreign devils have entered the village. How infuriating!
Also, one of China's largest pharmaceutical companies is being acquired by one of the world's largest pharma companies. The plan is under regulatory review. That stock is currently halted. This ID is also holding large positions on the principle of bloodletting. But this ID only hopes to get this deal killed! In any case, even if it falls through, this ID won't lose money — the cost basis is very low. I've heard it'll be announced soon too. Other than stirring up the pharma sector a bit, is it worth it for another major Chinese enterprise to fall like this? Of course, this ID will make the money and bleed them dry — but still must express outrage!
Let the protest use the original article:
Sichuan, Don't Disgrace China!
2006-10-18 16:16:23
This ID previously wrote several articles titled "Buying Up China," strongly warning of the real risk that China faces being bought out. Years ago, in this ID's famous online essay "Currency War and the RMB Strategy," this situation was already forewarned. Later, on the day the RMB was liberalized, this ID wrote: "China has finally gone global — but can the world still go Chinese?" Less than two years later, for China's enterprises today, the question has already become: "The world is still the world — can China still be China?"
The de-Sinicization of Chinese enterprises — I'm already numb to it. As mentioned in another post, since foreign money is still money, we'll just go bleed the foreigners from now on — see who's tougher. But these past few days, regarding reports that a famous Sichuan baijiu enterprise is about to be acquired by the world's largest liquor conglomerate — I still find it somewhat unbearable. Baijiu — a quintessential Chinese treasure. Let the British turn their whisky even more "GAY" for their "British disease," but what right do they have to turn baijiu into whisky? Who gave them that authority?
Sichuan, don't disgrace China! The liquor Li Bai once drank, the liquor Du Fu once drank, the liquor Su Dongpo once drank. Without liquor, where would Chinese culture be? Without liquor, how would Li Bai "toast the moon and make three companions"? How would Du Fu "sing freely in broad daylight"? How would Su Dongpo "ask the blue sky"? Even if all of China's liquor were sold off, how could Sichuan's liquor bear to be sold? A certain liquor, which became the "national liquor" just because of some foreign award — but does it have Li Bai, Du Fu, or Su Dongpo? What makes it qualified to be the national liquor? If you want to sell something, sell that one — but don't sell Sichuan's liquor, because that is Li Bai, Du Fu, and Su Dongpo!
Let whisky get more "GAY," let Bordeaux get more "SEX," but Sichuan's liquor must remain Chinese — must remain Li Bai, must remain Du Fu, must remain Su Dongpo! In an age without Li Bai, Du Fu, or Su Dongpo, this is probably the most basic, most bottom-line demand a Chinese person can make. A person may lack morals, but must have a bottom line. Sichuan, don't disgrace China!
缠中说禅 2006/12/7 11:59:39
No article today. The circle this ID established already has people posting their own articles there. This circle welcomes everyone to post their own articles for mutual exchange.
缠中说禅 2006/12/7 12:01:41
[Anonymous] 妄语
2006-12-07 11:59:28
Once again thoroughly confused by Chán mèi: does this divergence refer to MACD signal lines no longer making new highs or lows with the stock price, or the MACD histogram bars no longer making new highs or lows with the stock price? When both agree, great — but when they disagree, which one should be referenced?
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Both should be watched — examine them comprehensively. This question is relatively complex. I was going to write about it today, but this affair intervened, so it got postponed. I'll make it up tomorrow.
缠中说禅 2006/12/7 12:06:02
[Anonymous] jeep2500
2006-12-07 12:02:08
Your system is very practical — studied it carefully.
I actually prefer the 8-day and 21-day moving averages, because the 5 and 10 intertwine too frequently, and the 8 and 21 are cleaner. I prefer a clearer trend. Hehe.
Also, do you have any unique insights on volume analysis? All ears!!
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Volume will be discussed later. Parameters need to be adjusted by each individual — some people are more impatient and want faster signals. It varies per person.
缠中说禅 2006/12/7 12:07:05
Signing off. Goodbye.
缠中说禅 2006/12/7 15:06:20
From now on, this ID will not express any specific opinions on individual stocks or market trends, to avoid everyone's suspicions. All price movements have nothing to do with this ID — stop making a fuss.
Regarding the broader market, let me reiterate what has been said before one final time:
Long-term: This is the first wave of a bull market, with gains mainly in large-cap component stocks. After a major correction, the second wave will feature growth stocks, and finally restructuring stocks. This cycle will probably take several years to complete.
Medium to short-term: The market printed a big bullish monthly candle in November. A significant oscillation this month is perfectly natural (this was stated on December 1st and remains valid).
That's it. Going forward, I won't be continuing to discuss these specific matters.
缠中说禅 2006/12/7 15:18:17
Sorry, as you can see above, people are already saying this ID is the market's market maker and individual stocks' market maker. How could such things possibly have answers here? Saying anything is useless. This ID doesn't want to get entangled in such boring questions, so all questions about specific price movements are temporarily declined.
缠中说禅 2006/12/7 15:22:49
This post ends here. If you have questions, please go to the new post. But please don't ask about specific individual stocks' potential movements. The Analerta, technical analysis, music, mathematics, science, philosophy, art, religion — all fine. Just don't ask about specific stocks' possible price movements.
缠中说禅 2006/12/7 10:55:40
Is Sina having problems today? I keep being unable to load the page.