Traitors, this ID Will Toy with You Like Gigolos!
2007/3/1 15:42:20
Traitors,
this ID Will Toy with You
Like Gigolos!
What comes after the Hundred Regiments Offensive — anyone familiar with Chinese history knows this, unless they're a traitor or a foreign devil whose brain is completely waterlogged. Clearly, a very important part of China's financial markets is controlled by traitors and foreign devils — this has been pointed out many times. Denying this either reveals ulterior motives or blindness. Using the simplest sector analysis, the financial sector, for example, is obviously the hardest-hit area of traitor and foreign devil encirclement campaigns. Particularly, since most financial stocks trade simultaneously on other markets, they more easily become instruments for their attempted control of China's financial markets.
Some naive people — for instance, one called "Shui Pi" — was still foolishly saying yesterday that so-and-so published some article, therefore the market would rise. The most terrifying thing about China is not the traitors, but those dimwitted so-called patriots. Shouting a few slogans equals patriotism? That patriotism has zero technical content. Slogans can't drive out the Japanese — and they can't kill traitors and foreign devils either. In the financial market, where is there any harmony? It's blood and flesh! Don't be a grown adult still pretending to be innocent!
This ID admits that the forces this ID can currently assemble are not yet sufficient for a full-scale, large-formation battle against traitors and foreign devils — this is entirely the result of past conservative financial policies! Those policies that hoped to exterminate all big crocodiles only created a welcoming environment for foreign big crocodiles to invade. Without the laughable financial policies around 2000, without certain people falling under the spell of overseas returnees, China's domestic forces would have been sufficient to engage foreign devils in the largest-scale battles.
This is just like the Hundred Regiments Offensive — a mid-scale interception triggers a cruel subsequent encirclement campaign. But history developed this way: the so-called campaigns achieved nothing, and the Japanese were ultimately driven out. Indeed, the traitors can continuously suppress financial stocks to control the trend, just as the Japanese occupied cities large and small. But second- and third-tier stocks have vast strategic depth — that is our territory, and traitors and foreign devils have no business there.
The day before the crash, this ID spoke about Shenzhen local low-priced stocks — what impact did the crash have? They still hit consecutive limit-ups, didn't they? At the same time, agricultural and environmental stocks were emphasized again — everyone can see for themselves how they've performed. Note: you don't have to look at only the agricultural and environmental stocks among this ID's 14 stocks — any stock in these sectors that's low-priced and showing buy points in its trend is fine. Environmental protection actually also includes new energy.
This ID's recent slogan is to launch the most ruthless attack on third-tier stocks around 5 yuan. Traitors and foreign devils — you'd better smash ICBC back to 4 yuan, smash China Life back to 20 yuan. When that time comes, we'll naturally take over and make you roll out of China forever. Guerrilla warfare — toy with the traitors and foreign devils like gigolos.
Years ago, this ID was already calling everywhere that Chinese markets must be controlled by Chinese people. The current situation is not yet the most terrifying — after all, the major state shares are still in hand. But if vigilance continues to be lacking, the traitors will naturally find ways to swindle those away too. Didn't Premier Wen's article say financial security must be maintained? With the markets controlled by traitors and foreign devils, there is no security to speak of — it's that simple.
Today's market isn't worth talking about — if it can't get above the 5-day moving average, it must make a secondary bottom test. It's that simple. Now just watch how the 30-minute hub around 2800 evolves — that is the sole theme of the near term.
Replies
缠中说禅 2007/3/1 16:00:35
[Anonymous] Little Bird
2007-03-01 15:54:33
Sister, I feel like today's 1-minute chart for the market looks the same as yesterday's, just at a lower level.
During the decline: a+A+b+B+c. Because b diverged, it transformed into a~+B.
Is this understanding correct?
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Yesterday afternoon was a 1-minute level uptrend. Before yesterday's close, there was a sub-1-minute level top divergence. This morning around 10:06, there was a sub-1-minute level bottom divergence. Then a large hub appeared, oscillating up and down, with the close barely pulling back into this hub. Tomorrow, if the market produces a third sell point below this hub, then the market will continue probing downward. Otherwise, it continues oscillating around this hub.
缠中说禅 2007/3/1 16:03:18
[Anonymous] 淡定
2007-03-01 15:48:38
Hello blogger!
I was frustrated all day today — how did I end up entering the epicenter of the traitor encirclement campaign? I even bought 001 on the day of the big crash. What should I do now?
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Since after New Year, I've been saying not to touch these types of stocks — the talk has all been about second- and third-tier names. If you bought them, you can only wait. At the latest, they'll recover in the second half of the year.
缠中说禅 2007/3/1 16:06:41
[Anonymous] 努力学习
2007-03-01 15:46:34
Upvote first, read later. 938 had a 9% oscillation range today... unfortunately didn't exit at the high...
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When there's a sell point, you must exit — don't constantly wait until after the fact to regret. You'll never learn properly that way.
缠中说禅 2007/3/1 16:12:12
[Anonymous] 人寿
2007-03-01 16:04:29
Chán sister, you have such hatred for China Life? If it drops to 20, I'll be miserable. Ping An listed today and the pricing seems relatively low — how do you view it going forward?
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China Life is currently controlled by the bears, and most importantly, there's still a large batch of strategic investors. You have to wait until these factors play out before it can rise significantly. But medium-term there's no issue — just hold, and look for opportunities to add at lower levels to break even and profit.
缠中说禅 2007/3/1 16:13:17
[Anonymous] 简单
2007-03-01 16:12:05
Made it to the first page today, so happy.
My biggest interest right now is Chán's blog. I don't remember how long I lurked here, occasionally surfacing to leave a bubble.
If I turn on my computer, I'm definitely reading Chán's blog. Conversely, if I haven't read Chán's blog, I haven't turned on my computer.
Support Chán,
Support Chán, Support Chán,
Support Chán, Support Chán, Support Chán!
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Thank you, but you must study well and master it proficiently yourself — that is your true wealth.
缠中说禅 2007/3/1 16:19:57
[Anonymous] i3618
2007-03-01 15:55:00
May I ask: if a third sell point appears below the 30-minute hub, does the market necessarily continue downward? Is it theoretically possible for a third buy point to appear?
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The third buy point appears above the hub. Handling oscillation is simple — just use sub-level divergence for hedging. Of course, it's best to find strongly trending stocks with large-level third buy points — as long as the market doesn't plunge dramatically in a single day, they're generally very safe.
缠中说禅 2007/3/1 16:23:37
[Anonymous] Hindsight
2007-03-01 16:19:21
Master Chan, although others have asked this before, I'd also like to ask:
How do you view the Ping An that listed today? Not from a technical perspective — I hope you can provide guidance!
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Actually, if you understand this ID's earlier lessons, this is all very simple. Right now there's a small hub around 48. Whether it can push up and form a larger hub is the key to whether it can strengthen in the short term. Before this happens, there's basically no need to pay attention. Wait until a hub forms below, and if you're short-term oriented, find a short-term bottom divergence to enter. From a medium-term perspective, this price level won't trap anyone.
缠中说禅 2007/3/1 16:26:07
[Anonymous] 你的样子
2007-03-01 16:22:37
"Yesterday afternoon was a 1-minute level uptrend. Before yesterday's close, there was a sub-1-minute level top divergence."
Boss, for this segment — why is it a 1-minute uptrend but a sub-1-minute level top divergence? Are you saying that the 1-minute also shows consolidation divergence, and the sub-1-minute also diverges — this level simultaneously diverges?
This segment should be one level higher than this morning's decline, right?
Is that what I'm describing?
Also, the "large hub" you mentioned — is this a 5-minute level hub?
I never get level determination right. Is what I'm saying correct?
Eagerly awaiting your answer.
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The level of divergence and the level of the uptrend have no necessary correspondence. To have correspondence, the nested interval relationship must be satisfied. This issue is rather complex — future lessons will address it.
缠中说禅 2007/3/1 16:28:38
[Anonymous] 面甲
2007-03-01 16:23:00
Let me paste the question here.
[Anonymous] 面甲
2007-03-01 12:50:30
[Anonymous] tryrtytry
2007-03-01 12:22:50
[Anonymous] 面甲
2007-03-01 12:04:54
Chán, I have another question.
For a'+B, since this a' is not the original a, and this B is not the original B — why not jump up one level and directly call it a+A?
Is this understanding correct?
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At this point, B's level is still unknown — it could be that B, or it could expand into a higher-level A that's no longer the original B. Treating a' as a higher-level a is fine, but there isn't yet a higher-level A. The original B cannot yet be viewed as a higher-level A.
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Thank you for your reply.
However, I'm referring to a situation where a+A+b+B+c has already been confirmed invalid. Like yesterday's Shanghai market, when a 1-minute third buy point appeared. At that time, we can't predict the future trend, but we can have expectations about a'+B.
Actually, what I'm asking is a purely conceptual question: why define it as a'+B, rather than defining it as a higher-level a+A? Wouldn't that have better generalizability?
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Indeed, writing it as a+A would be ideal. However, the key is understanding the meaning.
缠中说禅 2007/3/1 16:33:12
[Anonymous] 赚到了
2007-03-01 16:01:18
Support Chán MM. However, second- and third-tier stocks have less influence on the index. The steel sector has been quite strong recently — shouldn't we consider propping up this sector? A "Great Leap in Steelmaking" to fight the traitors!
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Steel is this year's non-ferrous metals — this has been consistently emphasized. This ID has been active in steel warrants since the very beginning with Baosteel, not missing a single one. But for the entire sector, the required capital is too large, and inside it's actually just a rather loose coalition. The index really has no significance — the key is being able to practically extract money.
缠中说禅 2007/3/1 16:36:50
[Anonymous] 兰兰
2007-03-01 16:31:25
Hi Chán!
I've read the precise definitions, but still have some unclear points. Please advise!
Looking at recent market action: on the tick chart and the 1-minute chart they look about the same. During the decline, can the first 1-minute hub be considered a 5-minute hub? Is the second one both a 5-minute and 1-minute hub? The tick chart doesn't have MACD for checking divergence — do we look at volume instead?
Chán's blog is already incredibly popular, especially when answering questions — I often can't even load the page, and it scrolls so fast I can barely get a word in.
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No, a 5-minute hub must have three overlapping 1-minute level trend types. And a 1-minute trend type — no matter what — must have at least one 1-minute hub. If you treat 1-minute as the lowest level, there must be overlap of at least three K-lines. Some continuous pullings — going straight up or straight down — have no K-line overlap, so they cannot be considered hubs.
MACD is MACD — it has nothing to do with volume.
缠中说禅 2007/3/1 16:38:54
Xiao Ming
2007-03-01 16:34:04
[Anonymous] dliss
2007-03-01 16:14:15
Studying until 11 PM every night, but still no feel for it.
Can't understand.
Just got charting software that shows 1-minute periods yesterday.
Rallying strength alongside the blogger to fight traitors.
Hehe, the blogger has rich life experience — if written as a web novel, it would probably be incredibly popular.
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I think for beginners, it's best not to do ultra-short-term trading. Better to spend more time looking at daily K-line charts, getting a feel first. Having all kinds of chart patterns committed to memory is when you can start.
Chán MM, am I right?
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Yes, for the shortest timeframes, slow reactions mean missing signals — very hard to grasp. At minimum, use 5-minute or higher levels. 30-minute and above is best.
缠中说禅 2007/3/1 16:40:44
Bu Dian
2007-03-01 16:34:14
The crash is terrifying.
Today I painstakingly tried to buy back at the bottom to replace what I sold the past few days, but at the close I was still down 1% overall. Saving the remaining money — will add at 2600.
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Why didn't you add yesterday? And you don't add indiscriminately — best to add those with daily-level third buy points.
缠中说禅 2007/3/1 16:42:03
[Anonymous] 瞎鼓捣
2007-03-01 16:39:26
Reading boss's articles is so satisfying!
How do you identify sub-1-minute divergence?
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Look at the tick chart. Or look at the 1-minute MACD — directly read the red and green bars, don't look at the signal lines.
缠中说禅 2007/3/1 16:44:51
[Anonymous] 浆糊
2007-03-01 16:41:45
Chán MM, are you too disdainful to answer my beginner question? I'm an absolute beginner.
Has 600550 entered a 5-minute divergence segment?
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First you need to learn how to assess this yourself — the lessons contain specific methods. For example, if the MACD's signal lines haven't even pulled back toward the 0 axis, there's no possibility of divergence at that level. This stock's end-of-session low today is a sub-1-minute level divergence, but it's not a 5-minute one.
缠中说禅 2007/3/1 16:47:05
[Anonymous] 草草
2007-03-01 16:39:32
Teacher, I've asked twice and you haven't answered. This might be a very basic question, but once I understand it, I think I'll basically know what a hub is.
"The Chan Theory hub consists of the overlapping portion of at least three consecutive sub-level trend types."
What does "overlapping" mean? I truly don't understand. Could you give another example showing which time period represents which large level overlapping with which sub-level?
My understanding:
A hub is basically a W-shaped thing.
Consolidation can be formed by one sub-level W, and a trend needs at least two W's.
If consolidation breaks upward and after a pullback confirmation there's bottom divergence, that can be considered a third buy point.
If bottom divergence appears in a downtrend, it should be a first buy point. After buying at the first buy point, if a top divergence appears then exit and wait for the second buy point. Any second sell point can be found as a corresponding first buy point at a lower level. I don't know if my understanding is correct.
Teacher, could you give me an evaluation? Or could CCTV and other experts check if my thinking is right?
I don't know math, so I can only rely on visual recognition. Last night I found many stocks showing third buy points on the daily level — Shanda Huate, CITIC Offshore Helicopter appeared to have daily third buy points, and Dazhong Public Utilities also seems to. Recently I've been watching Tianrun Development — it'd be great if a first buy point appears. This weekend I plan to: scan for stocks showing weekly-level third buy points to trade. Yesterday I caught Qianjiang Pharmaceutical for a limit-up. Thank you, Teacher Chan. I don't know if what I'm saying is correct — please comment.
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For example, one segment goes from 5 yuan to 2 yuan, another goes from 1 yuan to 4 yuan — what do you think the overlapping range is? The principle for three segments is the same.
缠中说禅 2007/3/1 16:49:44
Sorry, I have a dinner gathering tonight. Everyone carry on — signing off, see you.
缠中说禅 2007/3/1 15:55:35
[Anonymous] Leisurely
2007-03-01 15:52:05
Boss, don't be angry!!
How about you send someone to be a mole inside their camp? Follow their momentum, and near the end, rob them!
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No need. On Chinese turf, where their positions are and what they've been doing — that's always verified with one simple check.