How Should We Evaluate Historical Figures (Appendix: Market Analysis)
2008/6/5 9:41:51
There are always some tiresome people who love to nitpick historical figures using moral standards that they themselves can't even uphold. In reality, if placed in those circumstances, these people would have acted even more sordidly. Those who love to nitpick the Cultural Revolution and the so-called brutal internal struggles of Communist Party history—go take a look at the farce being staged in your democratically elected Taiwan. Don't think the KMT were any good birds either. Their deeds were ten thousand times more sordid than the DPP's back in the day. History has always been like this: those truly on stage are always the few, and they always stand atop the bones of the masses to get there. Look at George W. Bush—such a piece of trash, and he still got re-elected? What power allowed such a garbage person to achieve such a disgraceful re-election in a country that claims "Long live democratic free elections"? The reason is simple: interests. When you're in power, all interest resources are in your hands. So-called elections are merely media games. In an economic society where media has invaded every person's central nervous system, people are nothing but puppets of these scriptwriters—especially for ordinary people, those without independent thinking whose brains are waterlogged. This is the most normal thing, and such people are always the vast majority.
Therefore, no ruler truly fears the so-called opposition. History proves that the probability of the opposition succeeding, regardless of the society, can only approach zero. This is the trick of all politics, without exception.
And the so-called history that the public knows is merely an edited version. Those fools who take this edited history as actual history are laughable in the extreme. Why must the Cultural Revolution be toppled, why must countless stories be fabricated and spread? Because the Cultural Revolution needed to be toppled—someone needed to topple the Cultural Revolution to achieve their own interests. That's all there is to it.
Fine—let me tell you what real history is. The most comprehensive records of real history, such as the CPC's history, are not in China but in the former Soviet Union. Do you know what historical archives are in there? After reading those, would you understand how history has been edited?
This ID can very responsibly tell everyone: in CPC history, many of the so-called toppled people were actually the ones truly standing tall. Zhang Guotao—how does that name strike you? Do you know who he should have hated most? That person's name is Peng Dehuai. This ID can very responsibly say that the number one villain or scoundrel in CPC history is precisely this Grand Marshal Peng. It's laughable that some still want to crown him a Martial Saint. What happened at Lushan was karmic retribution—deeply satisfying.
Don't think Liu Shaoqi or Xiang Ying and their ilk were any good birds either. Sometimes, history's final verdict is the most just. Don't think Gao Gang or Rao Shushi and their ilk were bad people. History is sometimes so unjust as well. Real history has always been such a hodgepodge, while edited history is always a single color—for example, the Cultural Revolution is simply black.
History is not history books.
Who told you Marshal Lin defected? What history book turned a person who joined the revolution from youth, who was born into bitter poverty, who was a Whampoa star, whose family produced three heroes, who was the commander of the First Army Corps during the Jinggang Mountains period, who went through fire and death during the Long March, who won the first victory against Japan, who liberated more than half of China—a true Communist—into a traitor? This ID long ago posed a sharp question about this: if a person is dead, can they still defect? If a plane on its way to supposed defection is carrying a pile of corpses, can they still defect?
As for Grandpa Mao, from the perspective of Chinese history, he is of course the one whose blessings flow eastward for ten thousand generations. What he created will be an era of Han-Tang prosperity. Where we stand now, if mapped onto Tang Dynasty history, we haven't even witnessed something like Empress Wu Zetian dominating the realm—so tell me, isn't this still the early Tang period? Our own Kaiyuan Golden Age still lies in the distant future. So what reason is there to lack confidence in China?
Of course, from the perspective of world history, Grandpa Mao doesn't really count for all that much. This ID has long since rendered a verdict on Grandpa Mao's position in world history: he was a successful practitioner in one country within the wave of nationalist capitalism that Lenin single-handedly set in motion across the world. His objective position in world history is precisely that. In fact, his direct impact on history falls far short of how Genghis Khan's iron hooves changed the course of world history in a heaven-and-earth-overturning fashion.
But Grandpa Mao gave us a spark, and his spark will surely start a prairie fire. Because China is like a stock in its so-called third major wave rally—with hubs continuously shifting upward, third-type buy points appearing one after another. China is about to become the true leader in globalization. We must strive for that day. All Chinese people—the most numerous race on Earth—this is our historical mission: to make Chinese history become world history, to make China, in the final phase of the globalization process, become globalization itself.
Let China become the world—this is our historical mission!
Appendix:
Yesterday I also mentioned the stock situation. This ID's view is very clear: indeed, there is currently no reason for a drop below 3,000 points. Moreover, since this recent probe downward did not produce a long bearish candlestick, it proves that selling pressure is insufficient, and the market has ample reason to hold above the gap and turn directly back upward. However, sometimes when considering issues, one need not be so absolute—especially this year. Chinese history has a 32-year minor cyclical pattern, and this year happens to be the most eventful year in that cycle. Therefore, this year has been particularly full of those mysterious events that come with no warning. Who can guarantee that some crazy unexpected event won't occur in the next second? Especially this year—when something happens, it's of a national scale. The world is more mysterious than we imagine. Thinking a bit more about it won't do any harm.