External Factors Trigger Today's Volatility
2007/8/15 15:49:33
First, let me address a question related to meditation. This ID mentioned using mindful intent to send the qi below the diaphragm upward through the diaphragm. This qi is certainly not the actual breath. In the human body's structure, where would there be any respiratory air below the diaphragm? It's just a thought — using this single thought to guide the true qi, which is the non-air qi.
Alright, let's talk stocks. Recently, overseas markets have been wailing and howling, making crocodiles worldwide weep bitter tears. A bit of volatility in the Chinese market is also quite appropriate. Technically, this was already made very clear yesterday: either continue rising until a new 5-minute hub appears, or form a 30-minute hub right here — there are no other options.
After this morning's surge, a 1-minute level divergence appeared. The entire 1-minute uptrend runs from point 17 to 38 in the chart below, containing two 1-minute hubs. Point 37 is the third type of buy point for the last 1-minute hub at 32-35. Therefore, this uptrend is extremely perfect. For the MACD auxiliary divergence judgment, the 5-minute chart shows it more clearly. (Please check it yourselves — the image quota here is only 200, and this ID can't waste too much space. In the 5-minute chart, look at the corresponding movements from the 1-minute chart and compare their momentum.) This is a textbook-standard trend movement.
The subsequent volatility is perfectly normal. Now, one classification of the movement from point 8 has also been naturally given in real-time: 8-17 is a 5-minute hub, then 17-38 is a 1-minute level uptrend. Starting from 32, the embryo of a 5-minute hub has also appeared. For ultra-short-term movements, it depends on how the trend starting from 32 evolves.
On individual stocks — did 002149 make you all happy? Of course, subsequent movements have nothing to do with this ID. This ID only bought up to a high of 43 yuan last Friday, then posted part of the clearing list around 41 here for a few hours. Why are so many people still rushing into this stock? It's primarily because of its fundamentals and growth potential. N months ago, this ID emphasized the medium-to-long-term investment value of growth stocks on the SME board. Later, this ID also mentioned having entered 002121. Note that both this stock and 002149 are related to 600635 — that's purely coincidental. For SME board stocks, you must look at their growth potential and have patience.
However, this is all old news. This ID will no longer buy any secondary market stocks — only waiting for opportunities to sell those not yet at zero cost to bring them to zero, then channel everything into PE. As for other stocks, this ID still holds every stock ever mentioned. Of course, many are already at zero cost, and this ID will hold them until the bull market ends.
This has been said before. This ID emphasizes once more: confidence in the great bull market hasn't changed, but the judgment that we've entered a constituent stock bubble rally also hasn't changed. After the constituent stock rally ends, there are at least two more rounds — led by growth stocks and restructuring stocks respectively. This game will last at least 20 years. It's still early.
This ID will just work a bit harder, doing more PE to produce stocks like 002149 — good stocks where you won't regret buying even at 40 yuan.
For the secondary market, let's trust the masses.
I have business to discuss today, leaving first. Goodbye.
